Blog Post

What is the promise of Apple's Passbook?

Lawrence Lerner • Sep 30, 2012

Everything begins with memory.  


The disruptive 1984 commercial that introduced the first Macintosh computers is just this side of 30. It was heralded as defiance to the Big Brother-like machinations of IBM and its partner, the then villainous Microsoft.  Are we now beginning to experience that this may have been a subtle and long-term sleeper plot reminiscent of Russian cold-war agents?  Or is it just another reason to bring back “Don’t trust anyone over 30?”


Probably not ;) However, the rise of “digital lockers” such as Apple’s Passbook raises some serious questions.  The latest release of Apple’s iconic smartphone came with over 200 upgrades.  More gadgetry and “must have” features, but the one likely to increase the digital divide is going quietly unnoticed. Apple’s Passbook service is a kind of “digital locker” that stores virtual versions of coupons, tickets, loyalty cards, and documents hinting at much more.

With services and infrastructure tailored toward an “empty wallet” lifestyle, Apple, Google, and other digital locker suppliers are adding convenience and accessibility to services that exclude those without smartphones. As these services flourish with the ability to influence Retail, Travel (the following patent issued to Apple ‘System and Method for transportation check in’ in July), and more, what happens to those without smartphones when basic services are made inaccessible to those without the latest gadget?

When an empty-wallet lifestyle becomes widespread, what happens to the 70% of the population that doesn’t have them? Healthcare, social security, membership, and other basic forms of identification become disintermediated by this technology. Personalization and rewards also come at the price of tracking by corporations.


Using a method I call Constructive Disruption, we can break down the problem and examine some scenarios.

There is also another darker aspect to such technology. What happens when it fails or is subject to hacking/terrorist activities? Or if every wallet is an “open wallet,” what then? Your location, transactions, friends, and general activities are subject to inspection as they travel over a corporate network. Privacy, regardless of promised safeguards, is suspect. Millennials and Gen-Z have grown up on technology and learned when and how they want to share. It’s a cultural change for people and corporations that will take time to adopt widely. While not a trending topic in this year’s election, I propose that by 2016, it will be its platform.


I’ve lived through the outcomes of technology failing a population. Once upon a time, I was responsible for developing a college campus debit card system. Students loaded funds into an account linked to their student ID card. The adoption of the “Bear Bucks” debit card went viral. Within six months, few people were carrying cash on campus. Then one night the server crashed. It was a state-of-the-art IBM PC-based server but had no backup. Given the costs, we hadn’t thought to bring them a spare server.

The head of Student Services called in a panic. The bookstore and food services were nearly shut down, with no one carrying cash. I flew out, replaced the server, and life was good again. 


Yet, all is not darkness. Easy access to one’s medical and financial records is better than where we are today. For example, the administrative cost of healthcare is so severe that the government has mandated improvements in accountable care. In France, citizens carry health cards implanted with chips to give primary care providers immediate access to their medical history. Costs are dramatically less than in the US. 


Awareness building is the key. Digital providers such as Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Google have the unique opportunity to drive public good over private gain.


This article was originally published in PSFK.com.

Technology and the Passbook have evolved since 2012. Passbook became part of Apple Wallet and the predications of integration are solid and continuing to evolve. In 2023 there are over 500M Apple Wallet users and the uses continue to expand. Over the last ten years I've developed many version of a passbook and see the form factor evolving. Humane's Pin.AI is a great example. It's in early days but it's a sea change opportunity I look forward to embracing as I did the Passbook.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR


Lawrence


I translate the CEO, Owner, or Board vision and goals into market-making products that generate $100M in new revenue by expanding into geographies, industries, and verticals while adding customers.


As their trusted advisor, leaders engage me to crush their goals and grow, fix, or transition their businesses with a cumulative impact of $1B


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